In Gartner's opinion, Sun Microsystems may have at least one reasonable complaint in its lawsuit against Microsoft.
Namely, Java on the desktop has been largely limited to intranets and special installations because of the difficulty of integrating it withMicrosoft desktop solutions. That situation would be alleviated if the distribution of Sun's Java plug-in were tied to the distribution ofMicrosoft's Windows XP operating system and Internet Explorer.
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Sun must demonstrate that Microsoft's desktop monopoly damages Sun's serverbusiness. That may be tricky, inasmuch as Sun doesn't have manyrevenue-generating desktop Java products.
Furthermore, Gartner believes that Sun hasn't made a connection between thelimited desktop Java and the lack of success on the server. Sun has oftenclaimed that it is not attempting to make money directly from Java byleveraging the Java platform. However, server-side Java has been extremelysuccessful. Sun claims a direct relationship exists between the success ofserver Java sales and desktop Java penetration. Sun might thus claimMicrosoft's practices have hurt enterprise product sales of Sun subsidiaryiPlanet.
Sun seems to have a precedent for at least a partial legal ruling in its favor, having favorably settled a lawsuit against Microsoft for breach of contract in a dispute over licensing Java in January 2001. And, of course,Microsoft has already been found guilty of monopolistic practices,regardless of the outcome of this case.
Sun may thus have good reason to seek relief on the issue of Java's place onthe Microsoft desktop and within Microsoft browsers. However, many peoplewill likely consider this new suit to be a desperate attempt by Sun to gainlegal leverage, as opposed to market leverage, against Microsoft and tolimit the appeal and success of Microsoft's .Net.
Sun may have a good chance of winning portions of this lawsuit--much as itdid the previous suit--and compelling Microsoft to put back Java intoExplorer and Windows XP.
However, the more important issue is that, in Gartner's opinion, Microsofthas been ahead of Sun lately in innovation and marketing. Sun must innovateas well as litigate. That means aggressively marketing Java and othersoftware against Microsoft and .Net.
(For related commentary on Sun and iPlanet, see gartner.com.)
Entire contents, Copyright © 2002 Gartner, Inc. All rights reserved. The information contained herein represents Gartner's initial commentary and analysis and has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable. Positions taken are subject to change as more information becomes available and further analysis is undertaken. Gartner disclaims all warranties as to the accuracy, completeness or adequacy of the information. Gartner shall have no liability for errors, omissions or inadequacies in the information contained herein or for interpretations thereof.